runwayoracle.com

As advertised

Read from a directory and written down with its source and date. Not measured. provenance: recorded

url

https://runwayoracle.com/v1/oracle/v3/mdw-edge

hostname

runwayoracle.com

operator

Runway Weather Oracle

capability

Chicago weather forecast API: live temperature nowcast and daily high forecast for Chicago Midway (KMDW), with calibrated probability the temperature ends above/below any Fahrenheit strike. KMDW is the official settlement station for Kalshi KXHIGHCHI and Polymarket Chicago daily high temperature prediction markets. Built for AI agents trading weather prediction markets or needing real-time weather data. $0.05 with live 3h thermal-memory telemetry (out-of-sample nowcast RMSE 0.94F); $0.01 degraded fallback (RMSE 1.21F). Free catalog: https://runwayoracle.com/catalog.json. Model-conditional estimates; not financial advice.

capability tag

prediction-markets

source directory

cdp-bazaar

Seen

first seen

4 September 2026 2026-09-04T11:24:51Z

last seen

4 September 2026 2026-09-04T11:24:51Z

current status

active

observations

1

observation cost, USD

$0.00

Price history

1 rows. 0 observed on a call Crosspeel made, 1 recorded from an advertised figure. The provenance column says which, on every row, and the two are never added together.

Cluster membership

This endpoint is not a member of any published cluster. That means either no match was found at the current threshold, or the observations behind a candidate match do not yet reach the depth the method requires. Neither is a statement about the endpoint. The thresholds are at /method.

Observations